When A Bad Trade Works
Trin Café "a trading for a living blog, inception 2017" was suppose to serve as a easy to read disclaimer of what Trin Café is about, and a reminder to myself that I will not put any capital at risk until 2017. Well, inception came earlier than expected, I began trading as early as the month of August.
2017 has been the chosen time frame because I would be able to commit my time from market open to market close. I've said it many times before, to have a chance at day trading successfully, it requires a method that's at least a break even win loss ratio, decent money management principals, and the time to be there in the moment when your method and the market are all aligned.
I rarely post charts on Trin Café anymore because I don't believe charts to be of value, a lot of what it means to trade is to be in the moment, putting your experience and capital at risk will be different for every individual trader. A traders circumstances and risk tolerance is like their own fingerprint, but for what it's worth; I was motivated enough to post this really bad trade that worked.
The below chart is of the YM on August 26th, I was fortunate that this trade worked in my favor. If you remember, August 26th Janet Yellen was speaking. The case can be made that trading on a FOMC day should be avoided, the markets can be very erratic, I'm talking about the kind of violent price swings that knock out the most well placed stops leading a lot of traders to get whipsawed and overtrade... been there done that countless number of times.
However, with access to my mobile trading app, I have had some early trading success. But with success, one of my many trading flaws is ego. I made a few trades that went against me, for a week, I dug a 13% hole into my account. I know very well that drawdowns are apart of trading, but trading on a phone with suspect reception and a shady battery has nothing to do with my method... I will explain that one in another post soon.
With all of that said, I told another trader I would share why I made the trade last Friday, but it was important to share the bigger picture, that day trading is not always easy, technical analysis has merit, but money management and trading psychology is where I intend on focusing myself and this blog.
Now for the Technical Analysis... (Not that complicated)
I sold 18531 because I saw that price made a lower high, a quick sell with the hope that another lower low would come my way.
Crazy? Only crazy if I did not immediately place a tight stop at 18549. With each lower low in my favor is what gave me confidence to place my stop from 18549 into a profit stop.
Note: The below chart is from NinjaTrader, my phone app looks nothing like this; another reason I can't trade on my phone any more.
|YM Aug 26th 2016|
Again, I was fortunate to turn a negative month into a positive month on one trade. Day trading well requires a commitment to consistency.